2 matches are on Saturday's card at Seville, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Facundo Diaz Acosta against Jaume Munar in the semifinal. Our calls: Acosta over Munar, Lajovic over Gurri.
Pick: Acosta
Win probability: 61% Acosta · Market: +108 · Sets: 3 (44%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Facundo Diaz Acosta goes up against Jaume Munar in the Seville semifinal. Facundo Diaz Acosta is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Jaume Munar has won 6 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Acosta comes in off a compressed schedule; Munar comes in off a compressed schedule. Acosta should have enough here, though Munar has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Lajovic
Win probability: 58% Lajovic · Market: -204 · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Dusan Lajovic goes up against Max Alcala Gurri in the Seville semifinal. Dusan Lajovic is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Max Alcala Gurri has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
Lajovic's 67% behind the first serve (against 61.9% for Gurri) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Lajovic comes in off a compressed schedule; Gurri comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Lajovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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