4 matches are on Tuesday's card at Guadalajara, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Diane Parry against Peyton Stearns in the round of 16. Our calls: Parry over Stearns, Bejlek over Parks, Samsonova over Jacquemot, Bucsa over Udvardy.
Pick: Samsonova
Win probability: 58% Samsonova · Market: -312 · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)
Elsa Jacquemot and Liudmila Samsonova meet in the round of 32 at Guadalajara on Tuesday. Liudmila Samsonova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Elsa Jacquemot is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.
Hold strength tells the story — 69.2% versus 64.4% on first-serve points in Samsonova's favor. Little separates them; Samsonova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Bejlek
Win probability: 66% Bejlek · Market: -279 · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (42%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alycia Parks goes up against Sara Bejlek in the Guadalajara round of 16. Sara Bejlek has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Alycia Parks has won 4 of the last 10.
Sara Bejlek simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Bejlek should have enough here, though Parks has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Parry
Win probability: 60% Parry · Market: +113 · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)
Diane Parry and Peyton Stearns meet in the round of 16 at Guadalajara on Tuesday. Diane Parry comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Peyton Stearns has won 5 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 66.1% versus 60.7% on first-serve points in Parry's favor. The edge belongs to Parry — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Bucsa
Win probability: 55% Bucsa · Market: -211 · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)
Tuesday's Guadalajara round of 16 pits Cristina Bucsa against Panna Udvardy on hard. Cristina Bucsa is 4-6 across recent matches. Panna Udvardy has won 4 of the last 10.
Cristina Bucsa simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Bucsa gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.