One match is on Thursday's card at Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Blake Ellis against Ilia Simakin in the round of 16. Our calls: Simakin over Ellis.
Pick: Simakin
Win probability: 71% Simakin · Market: -327 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)
Thursday's Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) round of 16 pits Blake Ellis against Ilia Simakin on hard. Ilia Simakin is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Blake Ellis has won 4 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Ellis comes in off a compressed schedule. Simakin should have enough here, though Ellis has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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