3 matches are on Thursday's card at Szczecin, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Marco Cecchinato against Marvin Moeller in the round of 16. Our calls: Cecchinato over Moeller, Galan over Izquierdo, Barton over Kolar.
Pick: Cecchinato
Win probability: 55% Cecchinato · Market: -149 · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
Marco Cecchinato and Marvin Moeller meet in the round of 16 at Szczecin on Thursday. Marco Cecchinato has won 6 of the last 10. Marvin Moeller has won 6 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Cecchinato gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Galan
Win probability: 55% Galan · Market: +101 · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (28%)
Daniel Elahi Galan and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo meet in the round of 16 at Szczecin on Thursday. Daniel Elahi Galan comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 67.4% versus 63.7% on first-serve points in Galan's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Galan fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Barton
Win probability: 60% Barton · Market: -128 · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
Thursday's Szczecin round of 16 pits Hynek Barton against Zdenek Kolar on clay. Hynek Barton is 5-5 across recent matches. Zdenek Kolar has won 3 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 71.1% versus 64.8% on first-serve points in Barton's favor. Barton should have enough here, though Kolar has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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