3 matches are on Friday's card at Szczecin, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Luka Mikrut against Tom Gentzsch in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Mikrut over Gentzsch, Trungelliti over Cecchinato, Izquierdo over Kolar.
Pick: Mikrut
Win probability: 52% Mikrut · Market: +110 · Sets: 3 (51%) · most likely score 2-1 (28%)
Luka Mikrut and Tom Gentzsch meet in the quarterfinal at Szczecin on Friday. Luka Mikrut brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Tom Gentzsch is 8-2 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mikrut is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Trungelliti
Win probability: 57% Trungelliti · Market: -131 · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (29%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Marco Cecchinato goes up against Marco Trungelliti in the Szczecin quarterfinal. Marco Trungelliti comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Marco Cecchinato is 6-4 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Cecchinato comes in off a compressed schedule; Trungelliti comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Trungelliti gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Izquierdo
Win probability: 57% Izquierdo · Market: -146 · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)
Friday's Szczecin quarterfinal pits Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo against Zdenek Kolar on clay. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has won 5 of the last 10. Zdenek Kolar is 4-6 across recent matches.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Izquierdo comes in off a compressed schedule; Kolar comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Izquierdo is exactly that — a lean.
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