One match is on Wednesday's card at Chengdu, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jenson Brooksby against Sebastian Baez in the round of 32. Our calls: Baez over Brooksby.
The boldest call on the card: Baez over Brooksby — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: BaezUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Brooksby the favorite; our numbers say Baez.
Win probability: 52% Baez · Market: +128 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Wednesday's Chengdu round of 32 pits Jenson Brooksby against Sebastian Baez on hard. Sebastian Baez comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Jenson Brooksby is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Baez is exactly that — a lean.
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