One match is on Friday's card at Porto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gabriela Andrea Knutson against Maria Timofeeva in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Timofeeva over Knutson.
Pick: Timofeeva
Win probability: 54% Timofeeva · Market: -170 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
Friday's Porto quarterfinal pits Gabriela Andrea Knutson against Maria Timofeeva on hard. Maria Timofeeva comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Gabriela Andrea Knutson has won 7 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Timofeeva gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.