4 matches are on Friday's card at St. Tropez, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Mark Lajal against Titouan Droguet in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Droguet over Lajal, Mayot over Jong, Cassone over Masur, Prizmic over Glinka.
Pick: Cassone
Win probability: 54% Cassone · Market: -168 · We call it in 3 sets (53%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (29%)
Friday's St. Tropez quarterfinal pits Daniel Masur against Murphy Cassone on hard. Murphy Cassone has won 6 of the last 10. Daniel Masur has won 6 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cassone is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Mayot
Win probability: 54% Mayot · Market: +110 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (27%)
Friday's St. Tropez quarterfinal pits Harold Mayot against Jesper De Jong on hard. Harold Mayot comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Jesper De Jong has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall.
Harold Mayot simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Mayot comes in off a compressed schedule; Jong arrives with very little recovery time. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mayot is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Prizmic
Win probability: 68% Prizmic · Market: -351 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (39%)
Daniil Glinka and Dino Prizmic meet in the quarterfinal at St. Tropez on Friday. Dino Prizmic comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Daniil Glinka comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Prizmic.
Pick: Droguet
Win probability: 57% Droguet · Market: -110 · We call it in 3 sets (49%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (30%)
Friday's St. Tropez quarterfinal pits Mark Lajal against Titouan Droguet on hard. Titouan Droguet has won 9 of the last 10. Mark Lajal has won 8 of the last 10.
Titouan Droguet simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Droguet is exactly that — a lean.
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