4 matches are on Monday's card at Mouilleron-Le-Captif, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Pierre Hugues Herbert against Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the round of 32. Our calls: Wayenburg over Herbert, Tabur over Martineau, Jones over Faurel, Onclin over Added.
Pick: Jones
Win probability: 62% Jones · Market: -167 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)
Jack Pinnington Jones and Thomas Faurel meet in the round of 32 at Mouilleron-Le-Captif on Monday. Jack Pinnington Jones comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Thomas Faurel is 2-8 across recent matches.
Jones's 70.9% behind the first serve (against 63% for Faurel) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Jones.
Pick: Tabur
Win probability: 56% Tabur · Market: -167 · We call it in 3 sets (52%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (30%)
Monday's Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 32 pits Clement Tabur against Matteo Martineau on hard. Clement Tabur is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10). Matteo Martineau comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Clement Tabur simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Tabur gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Wayenburg
Win probability: 54% Wayenburg · Market: -161 · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (28%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Pierre Hugues Herbert goes up against Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 32. Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Pierre Hugues Herbert is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (2 of the last 10).
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Wayenburg fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Onclin
Win probability: 64% Onclin · Market: -271 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Dan Added goes up against Gauthier Onclin in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 32. Gauthier Onclin is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10). Dan Added has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Onclin should have enough here, though Added has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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