3 matches are on Monday's card at Porto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Laslo Djere against Michael Mmoh in the round of 32. Our calls: Mmoh over Djere, Bonzi over Holmgren, Dimitrov over Rincon.
Pick: Bonzi
Win probability: 66% Bonzi · Market: -261 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (39%)
August Holmgren and Benjamin Bonzi meet in the round of 32 at Porto on Monday. Benjamin Bonzi comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. August Holmgren limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Bonzi — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Mmoh
Win probability: 58% Mmoh · Market: -140 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
Monday's Porto round of 32 pits Laslo Djere against Michael Mmoh on hard. Michael Mmoh comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Laslo Djere comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mmoh is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Dimitrov
Win probability: 75% Dimitrov · Market: -281 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (47%)
Daniel Rincon and Grigor Dimitrov meet in the round of 32 at Porto on Monday. Grigor Dimitrov limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Daniel Rincon is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).
Dimitrov's 73.8% behind the first serve (against 68.4% for Rincon) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Anything other than a Dimitrov win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
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