2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Bari (Italy), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Carlos Taberner against Elmer Moller in the round of 32. Our calls: Taberner over Moller, Tiffon over Lokoli.
Pick: Tiffon
Win probability: 58% Tiffon · Market: -145 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Laurent Lokoli and Pol Martin Tiffon meet in the round of 32 at Bari (Italy) on Tuesday. Pol Martin Tiffon limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Laurent Lokoli is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).
Pol Martin Tiffon is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Tiffon around 58%. Little separates them; Tiffon gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Taberner
Win probability: 52% Taberner · Market: +107 · We call it in 3 sets (52%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (27%)
Carlos Taberner and Elmer Moller meet in the round of 32 at Bari (Italy) on Tuesday. Carlos Taberner limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Elmer Moller is 5-5 across recent matches.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Taberner fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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