One match is on Tuesday's card at Hangzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Andrey Rublev against Daniil Medvedev in the final. Our calls: Medvedev over Rublev.
Pick: Medvedev
Win probability: 61% Medvedev · Market: -184 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (39%)
Tuesday brings the Hangzhou final: Andrey Rublev against Daniil Medvedev. Daniil Medvedev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Andrey Rublev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Daniil Medvedev is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Medvedev around 61%. Medvedev comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Medvedev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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