3 matches are on Tuesday's card at Mouilleron-Le-Captif, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Clement Chidekh against David Goffin in the round of 32. Our calls: Chidekh over Goffin, Lajal over Poullain, Blanchet over Durasovic.
Pick: Chidekh
Win probability: 58% Chidekh · Market: -265 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
Clement Chidekh and David Goffin meet in the round of 32 at Mouilleron-Le-Captif on Tuesday. Clement Chidekh is 6-4 across recent matches. David Goffin has dropped 7 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
Clement Chidekh is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Chidekh around 58%. Little separates them; Chidekh gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Blanchet
Win probability: 64% Blanchet · Market: -244 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)
Ugo Blanchet and Viktor Durasovic meet in the round of 32 at Mouilleron-Le-Captif on Tuesday. Ugo Blanchet is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10). Viktor Durasovic comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.
Ugo Blanchet simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Blanchet.
Pick: Lajal
Win probability: 65% Lajal · Market: -292 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (39%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Lucas Poullain goes up against Mark Lajal in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 32. Mark Lajal is 7-3 across recent matches. Lucas Poullain is 7-3 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 71.2% versus 62.3% on first-serve points in Lajal's favor. The edge belongs to Lajal — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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