Saturday's Curitiba semifinal pits Gustavo Heide against Pedro Boscardin Dias on clay. Gustavo Heide brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Pedro Boscardin Dias is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
The serve is where this match separates: Heide has been winning 71.6% of first-serve points to Dias's 65.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Heide comes in off a compressed schedule; Dias comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Heide win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.