Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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16 matches are on Saturday's card at Shanghai, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex Michelsen against Botic Van De Zandschulp in the round of 64. Our calls: Alcaraz over Cerundolo.
Win probability: 83% Alcaraz · Market: -1247 · We call it in 2 sets (68%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (59%)
Carlos Alcaraz and Juan Manuel Cerundolo meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Carlos Alcaraz has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 5 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Cerundolo needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger Aliassime meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Felix Auger Aliassime comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Daniil Medvedev against Jan Lennard Struff on hard. Daniil Medvedev brings a 7-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Jan Lennard Struff is 5-5 across recent matches.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Arthur Fils against Pavel Kotov on hard. Arthur Fils has won 8 of the last 10. Pavel Kotov is 8-2 across recent matches.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Taylor Fritz is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10). Matteo Arnaldi has won 4 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Learner Tien against Zachary Svajda on hard. Learner Tien is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Zachary Svajda is 4-6 across recent matches.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Daniel Vallejo and Tommy Paul meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Tommy Paul limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Daniel Vallejo is 5-5 across recent matches.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Jiri Lehecka against Nuno Borges on hard. Jiri Lehecka has won 8 of the last 10. Nuno Borges comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Sebastian Baez and Valentin Vacherot meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Valentin Vacherot comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Sebastian Baez is 5-5 across recent matches.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Luciano Darderi against Stefanos Tsitsipas on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Luciano Darderi has won 5 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Alex Michelsen against Botic Van De Zandschulp on hard. Alex Michelsen limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Botic Van De Zandschulp has won 6 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Dalibor Svrcina against Tomas Martin Etcheverry on hard. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10). Dalibor Svrcina has won 3 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Rafael Jodar against Thiago Agustin Tirante on hard. Rafael Jodar has won 6 of the last 10. Thiago Agustin Tirante comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai round of 64. Alejandro Tabilo comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-6 across recent matches.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Zizou Bergs has won 5 of the last 10. Ignacio Buse limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10.
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