One match is on Monday's card at Olbia, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Abedallah Shelbayh against Andrea Guerrieri in the round of 32. Our calls: Guerrieri over Shelbayh.
Pick: Guerrieri
Win probability: 50% Guerrieri · Market: -111 · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (27%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Abedallah Shelbayh goes up against Andrea Guerrieri in the Olbia round of 32. Andrea Guerrieri comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Abedallah Shelbayh has won 7 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Guerrieri is exactly that — a lean.
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