Shanghai & Wuhan predictions, October 12, 2026: Lehecka vs Jodar, Paul vs Vacherot

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Jiri Lehecka goes up against Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai round of 32. Jiri Lehecka has won 8 of the last 10. Rafael Jodar has won 6 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.1% versus 69.4% on first-serve points in Lehecka's favor. Little separates them; Lehecka gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Tommy Paul goes up against Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai round of 32. Tommy Paul has won 7 of the last 10. Valentin Vacherot comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Paul fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Monday's Shanghai round of 32 pits Casper Ruud against Learner Tien on hard. Casper Ruud is 6-4 across recent matches. Learner Tien comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ruud fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Taylor Fritz meet in the round of 32 at Shanghai on Monday. Taylor Fritz has won 6 of the last 10. Stefanos Tsitsipas comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Fritz gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Jasmine Paolini goes up against Sara Bejlek in the Wuhan round of 64. Jasmine Paolini limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Sara Bejlek comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Paolini is exactly that — a lean.

Monday's Shanghai round of 32 pits Arthur Fils against Botic Van De Zandschulp on hard. Arthur Fils is 8-2 across recent matches. Botic Van De Zandschulp is 7-3 across recent matches.

Arthur Fils is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fils around 72%. The edge belongs to Fils — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Leylah Fernandez meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Monday. Ekaterina Alexandrova comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Leylah Fernandez is 7-3 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Alexandrova fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Carlos Alcaraz goes up against Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai round of 32. Carlos Alcaraz has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Zizou Bergs comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Carlos Alcaraz is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Alcaraz around 85%. Anything other than a Alcaraz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Anna Kalinskaya goes up against Diane Parry in the Wuhan round of 64. Anna Kalinskaya has won 7 of the last 10. Diane Parry has dropped 3 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.

Anna Kalinskaya simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kalinskaya is exactly that — a lean.

Felix Auger Aliassime and Pablo Carreno Busta meet in the round of 32 at Shanghai on Monday. Felix Auger Aliassime is 6-4 across recent matches. Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-6 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 75.5% versus 68.2% on first-serve points in Aliassime's favor. Anything other than a Aliassime win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Dalibor Svrcina goes up against Daniil Medvedev in the Shanghai round of 32. Daniil Medvedev brings a 8-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Dalibor Svrcina has won 4 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Medvedev has been winning 72.8% of first-serve points to Svrcina's 62.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. If Medvedev plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Monday's Wuhan round of 64 pits Anhelina Kalinina against Sonay Kartal on hard. Sonay Kartal is 6-4 across recent matches. Anhelina Kalinina has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Kartal gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Monday's Wuhan round of 64 pits Donna Vekic against Maria Sakkari on hard. Maria Sakkari has won 5 of the last 10. Donna Vekic has won 2 of the last 10.

Maria Sakkari is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sakkari around 56%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sakkari is exactly that — a lean.

Clara Tauson and Marie Bouzkova meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Monday. Marie Bouzkova is 6-4 across recent matches. Clara Tauson has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

Marie Bouzkova is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Bouzkova around 56%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bouzkova fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Monday's Wuhan round of 64 pits Magdalena Frech against Mananchaya Sawangkaew on hard. Magdalena Frech has won 5 of the last 10. Mananchaya Sawangkaew has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Frech gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Janice Tjen and Oleksandra Oliynykova meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Monday. Janice Tjen has won 4 of the last 10. Oleksandra Oliynykova has won 5 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 67.6% versus 57.4% on first-serve points in Tjen's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tjen is exactly that — a lean.

Monday's Wuhan round of 64 pits Caty Mcnally against Yuliia Starodubtseva on hard. Caty Mcnally limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Yuliia Starodubtseva is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Caty Mcnally is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Mcnally around 56%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mcnally is exactly that — a lean.