3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Rovereto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jil Teichmann against Lucia Bronzetti in the round of 16. Our calls: Teichmann over Bronzetti, Bandecchi over Knutson, Stefanini over Tan.
Pick: Stefanini
Win probability: 55% Stefanini · Market: -172 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Harmony Tan goes up against Lucrezia Stefanini in the Rovereto round of 16. Lucrezia Stefanini has won 6 of the last 10. Harmony Tan has won 4 of the last 10.
Lucrezia Stefanini simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Stefanini comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Stefanini fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Bandecchi
Win probability: 53% Bandecchi · Market: +110 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (29%)
Wednesday's Rovereto round of 16 pits Gabriela Andrea Knutson against Susan Bandecchi on clay. Susan Bandecchi is 6-4 across recent matches. Gabriela Andrea Knutson comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bandecchi is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Teichmann
Win probability: 60% Teichmann · Market: +103 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)
Jil Teichmann and Lucia Bronzetti meet in the round of 16 at Rovereto on Wednesday. Jil Teichmann has won 7 of the last 10. Lucia Bronzetti comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Teichmann.
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