Wuhan & Shanghai predictions, October 14, 2026: Ruud vs Aliassime, Medvedev vs Tsitsipas

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Casper Ruud goes up against Felix Auger Aliassime in the Shanghai round of 16. Felix Auger Aliassime has won 7 of the last 10. Casper Ruud comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 75.5% versus 70.3% on first-serve points in Aliassime's favor. Little separates them; Aliassime gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Daniil Medvedev goes up against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Shanghai round of 16. Daniil Medvedev brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Stefanos Tsitsipas is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Daniil Medvedev simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Medvedev should have enough here, though Tsitsipas has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Wednesday's Shanghai round of 16 pits Botic Van De Zandschulp against Rafael Jodar on hard. Rafael Jodar is 6-4 across recent matches. Botic Van De Zandschulp has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jodar fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Belinda Bencic and Sonay Kartal meet in the round of 32 at Wuhan on Wednesday. Belinda Bencic has won 7 of the last 10. Sonay Kartal comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 66.3% versus 62.6% on first-serve points in Bencic's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bencic.

Jasmine Paolini and Nikola Bartunkova meet in the round of 32 at Wuhan on Wednesday. Nikola Bartunkova is 7-3 across recent matches. Jasmine Paolini is 6-4 across recent matches.

Bartunkova's 68.8% behind the first serve (against 60.2% for Paolini) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bartunkova fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Tommy Paul goes up against Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai round of 16. Tommy Paul has won 7 of the last 10. Zizou Bergs brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Tommy Paul is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Paul around 65%. The edge belongs to Paul — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Wednesday's Wuhan round of 32 pits Ann Li against Aryna Sabalenka on hard. Aryna Sabalenka comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Ann Li has won 6 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Sabalenka win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Wednesday's Wuhan round of 32 pits Elina Svitolina against Liudmila Samsonova on hard. Elina Svitolina is 6-4 across recent matches. Liudmila Samsonova is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Samsonova comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Svitolina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Wednesday's Wuhan round of 32 pits Jelena Ostapenko against Jessica Pegula on hard. Jessica Pegula has won 8 of the last 10. Jelena Ostapenko has won 5 of the last 10.

Jessica Pegula simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Pegula win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Diana Shnaider and Yulia Putintseva meet in the round of 32 at Wuhan on Wednesday. Diana Shnaider has won 6 of the last 10. Yulia Putintseva has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Shnaider comes in off a compressed schedule; Putintseva comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Shnaider.

Ashlyn Krueger and Lanlana Tararudee meet in the round of 32 at Wuhan on Wednesday. Lanlana Tararudee has won 6 of the last 10. Ashlyn Krueger comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 67.3% versus 63.7% on first-serve points in Tararudee's favor. Krueger comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tararudee is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Daria Snigur goes up against Janice Tjen in the Wuhan round of 32. Daria Snigur comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Janice Tjen is 5-5 across recent matches.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Snigur is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Iga Swiatek goes up against Magdalena Frech in the Wuhan round of 32. Iga Swiatek is 7-3 across recent matches. Magdalena Frech is 6-4 across recent matches.

Iga Swiatek is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Swiatek around 80%. If Swiatek plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Maja Chwalinska goes up against Marie Bouzkova in the Wuhan round of 32. Marie Bouzkova is 6-4 across recent matches. Maja Chwalinska has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 61.9% versus 58.4% on first-serve points in Bouzkova's favor. Chwalinska comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bouzkova.

Wednesday's Wuhan round of 32 pits Caty Mcnally against Karolina Muchova on hard. Karolina Muchova comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Caty Mcnally has won 5 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 64.8% versus 60.2% on first-serve points in Muchova's favor. Mcnally needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Dayana Yastremska goes up against Iva Jovic in the Wuhan round of 32. Iva Jovic is 8-2 across recent matches. Dayana Yastremska comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Iva Jovic simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Yastremska comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Jovic win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.