2 matches are on Friday's card at Rovereto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Bianca Andreescu against Lucrezia Stefanini in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Andreescu over Stefanini, Salkova over Boskovic.
Pick: Salkova
Win probability: 60% Salkova · Market: -151 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)
Dominika Salkova and Lea Boskovic meet in the quarterfinal at Rovereto on Friday. Dominika Salkova comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Lea Boskovic comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Dominika Salkova is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Salkova around 60%. Salkova comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Salkova is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Andreescu
Win probability: 64% Andreescu · Market: -140 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Bianca Andreescu goes up against Lucrezia Stefanini in the Rovereto quarterfinal. Bianca Andreescu comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Lucrezia Stefanini comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 63.5% versus 55.3% on first-serve points in Andreescu's favor. Andreescu comes in off a compressed schedule. Andreescu should have enough here, though Stefanini has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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