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Shanghai Predictions & Picks — October 18, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 18, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Sunday's card at Shanghai, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Rafael Jodar in the final. Our calls: Jodar over Fokina.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Rafael Jodar; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 7-6 6-4.

Pick: Jodar

Win probability: 54% Jodar · Market: -124 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)

It all comes down to Sunday at Shanghai, where Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Rafael Jodar for the trophy. Rafael Jodar is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Fokina comes in off a compressed schedule; Jodar comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jodar is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.