One match is on Thursday's card at Florence (Italy), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Max Houkes against Michele Ribecai in the round of 16. Our calls: Houkes over Ribecai.
Pick: Houkes
Win probability: 63% Houkes · Market: -133 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
Max Houkes and Michele Ribecai meet in the round of 16 at Florence (Italy) on Thursday. Max Houkes comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Michele Ribecai limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Houkes has been winning 68.3% of first-serve points to Ribecai's 62.6%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Houkes — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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