Saturday's Cali semifinal pits Felipe Meligeni Alves against Valerio Aboian on clay. Felipe Meligeni Alves is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Valerio Aboian brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.
Alves's 69.8% behind the first serve (against 64.4% for Aboian) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Alves comes in off a compressed schedule; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Alves — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.