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Cali Predictions & Picks — October 24, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 24, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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2 matches are on Saturday's card at Cali, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gustavo Heide against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the semifinal. Our calls: Heide over Almeida, Alves over Aboian.

Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Felipe Meligeni Alves at 65% lost to Valerio Aboian (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Pick: Alves

Win probability: 65% Alves · Market: -282 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)

Saturday's Cali semifinal pits Felipe Meligeni Alves against Valerio Aboian on clay. Felipe Meligeni Alves is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Valerio Aboian brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Alves's 69.8% behind the first serve (against 64.4% for Aboian) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Alves comes in off a compressed schedule; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Alves — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Gustavo Heide vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Gustavo Heide at 61%, but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-3 7-5.

Pick: Heide

Win probability: 61% Heide · Market: -139 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)

Gustavo Heide and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida meet in the semifinal at Cali on Saturday. Gustavo Heide has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

The serve is where this match separates: Heide has been winning 71.6% of first-serve points to Almeida's 64.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Heide comes in off a compressed schedule; Almeida comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Heide.

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Updated Oct 24, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.