4 matches are on Monday's card at Guangzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Harriet Dart against Tatiana Prozorova in the round of 32. Our calls: Prozorova over Dart, Snigur over Bondar, Kraus over Udvardy, Timofeeva over Kostovic.
Pick: Snigur
Win probability: 62% Snigur · Market: -186 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)
Monday's Guangzhou round of 32 pits Anna Bondar against Daria Snigur on hard. Daria Snigur is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Anna Bondar has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
Daria Snigur is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Snigur around 62%. Snigur should have enough here, though Bondar has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Kraus
Win probability: 53% Kraus · Market: -175 · We call it in 2 sets (58%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
Panna Udvardy and Sinja Kraus meet in the round of 32 at Guangzhou on Monday. Sinja Kraus is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Panna Udvardy is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).
Sinja Kraus simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kraus fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Timofeeva
Win probability: 68% Timofeeva · Market: -173 · We call it in 2 sets (66%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (46%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Maria Timofeeva goes up against Teodora Kostovic in the Guangzhou round of 32. Maria Timofeeva comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Teodora Kostovic comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Maria Timofeeva simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Timofeeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Prozorova
Win probability: 61% Prozorova · Market: -126 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
Harriet Dart and Tatiana Prozorova meet in the round of 32 at Guangzhou on Monday. Tatiana Prozorova is 7-3 across recent matches. Harriet Dart is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. The edge belongs to Prozorova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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