4 matches are on Tuesday's card at Guayaquil, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Diego Dedura against Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the round of 32. Our calls: Dedura over Olivieri, Angelo over Dias, Juan over Hardt, Midon over Villanueva.
Pick: Juan
Win probability: 63% Juan · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Manuel La Serna Juan goes up against Nick Hardt in the Guayaquil round of 32. Manuel La Serna Juan is 5-5 across recent matches. Nick Hardt is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).
Manuel La Serna Juan simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Juan should have enough here, though Hardt has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Midon
Win probability: 69% Midon · Market: -188 · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)
Gonzalo Villanueva and Lautaro Midon meet in the round of 32 at Guayaquil on Tuesday. Lautaro Midon comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Gonzalo Villanueva has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Midon should have enough here, though Villanueva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Dedura
Win probability: 59% Dedura · Market: -168 · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Diego Dedura goes up against Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Guayaquil round of 32. Diego Dedura has won 3 of the last 10. Genaro Alberto Olivieri has won 5 of the last 10.
Diego Dedura is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Dedura around 59%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Dedura is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Angelo
Win probability: 59% Angelo · Market: -202 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Juan Carlos Prado Angelo goes up against Pedro Boscardin Dias in the Guayaquil round of 32. Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is 6-4 across recent matches. Pedro Boscardin Dias is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Angelo is exactly that — a lean.
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