One match is on Sunday's card at Vienna, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex De Minaur against Carlos Alcaraz in the final. Our calls: Alcaraz over Minaur.
Pick: Alcaraz
Win probability: 72% Alcaraz · Market: -365 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (50%)
The Vienna title is on the line on Sunday, when Alex De Minaur meets Carlos Alcaraz. Carlos Alcaraz is rolling — 3 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Alex De Minaur has won 3 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.
Carlos Alcaraz simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Minaur comes in off a compressed schedule; Alcaraz comes in off a compressed schedule. Alcaraz should have enough here, though Minaur has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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