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Tennis predictions, November 1, 2026: Minaur vs Alcaraz, Lehecka vs Vacherot

By The Maiden Desk · November 1, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Sunday's card across 3 events, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex De Minaur against Carlos Alcaraz in the final. Our calls: Alcaraz over Minaur, Lehecka over Vacherot, Tagger over Dart.

October 31, 2026 results: 8-4 → how our picks graded, match by match.

Alex De Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 72% before the match, and Carlos Alcaraz won 6-1 6-4.

Pick: Alcaraz

Win probability: 72% Alcaraz · Market: -365 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (50%)

The Vienna title is on the line on Sunday, when Alex De Minaur meets Carlos Alcaraz. Carlos Alcaraz is rolling — 3 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Alex De Minaur has won 3 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.

Carlos Alcaraz simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Minaur comes in off a compressed schedule; Alcaraz comes in off a compressed schedule. Alcaraz should have enough here, though Minaur has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Jiri Lehecka at 56% lost to Valentin Vacherot (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Pick: Lehecka

Win probability: 56% Lehecka · Market: -168 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)

Sunday brings the Basel final: Jiri Lehecka against Valentin Vacherot. Jiri Lehecka brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Valentin Vacherot brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Lehecka comes in off a compressed schedule; Vacherot comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Lehecka fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Harriet Dart vs Lilli Tagger

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Lilli Tagger at 69%, but Harriet Dart won 4-6 6-3 6-4.

Pick: Tagger

Win probability: 69% Tagger · Market: -316 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (46%)

Sunday brings the Guangzhou final: Harriet Dart against Lilli Tagger. Lilli Tagger has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Harriet Dart has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall.

Hold strength tells the story — 67.3% versus 64% on first-serve points in Tagger's favor. Dart comes in off a compressed schedule; Tagger comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tagger.

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Updated Oct 31, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

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