● Live
The live win probability is Pro.
Our number for this match, updated the moment each set is complete, with the pre-match number beside it so you can see how far it has moved.
Tuesday's Paris round of 64 pits Holger Rune against Tommy Paul on clay. Tommy Paul has won 6 of the last 10. Holger Rune has won 6 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Paul should have enough here, though Rune has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Holger Rune | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.8% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.7% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.8% | 51.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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