Tuesday's Paris round of 64 pits Novak Djokovic against Valentin Vacherot on clay. Novak Djokovic is 5-5 across recent matches. Valentin Vacherot is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Djokovic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-233(70.0% Djokovic)
Market-190(65.5% Djokovic)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Novak Djokovic
2056
Valentin Vacherot
1747
Overall rating
Novak Djokovic
2143
Valentin Vacherot
2024
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Novak Djokovic
Valentin Vacherot
1st serve in
65.9%
65.2%
1st serve points won
70.6%
72.7%
2nd serve points won
53.4%
49.4%
Form
Novak Djokovic
5–5
Valentin Vacherot
8–2
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot?
Maiden gives Novak Djokovic a 70% chance to beat Valentin Vacherot in the Paris round of 64 on November 3, 2026.
How confident is the Novak Djokovic pick?
70% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 70%, picks in that range have won 70% of the time (254 so far). See the track record page for the full table.