Who won Florida International vs Jacksonville State?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 27-24. Maiden picked Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 61% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we published between 60% to 65% have won 24 of 36 college football games, 67%. That is the whole point of publishing a probability rather than a name: you can check for yourself whether a number in that range has actually meant what it said. The full table, every band and every sport, is on our track record page.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we published between 60% to 65% have won 24 of 36 college football games, 67%. That is the whole point of publishing a probability rather than a name: you can check for yourself whether a number in that range has actually meant what it said. The full table, every band and every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Florida International vs Jacksonville State win probability come from?

We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Jacksonville State Gamecocks hosting Florida International Panthers. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 7 · Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Florida International Panthers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27, Florida International Panthers 24

Our pick landed: Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 27-24. We had them at 61%.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 61% to win. We project them by 4.7.

The numbers

Our pick	Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Chance they win	61%
Our projected spread (Jacksonville State Gamecocks)	-4.7
Our projected score (Jacksonville State Gamecocks first)	27-22
Projected total	48.6
Our picks at 60% to 65% confidence	24-12 (67%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.

Market average

Spread (Jacksonville State Gamecocks)	-3
Total	44.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Other picks on the Week 7, 2026 board

Prediction published Oct 11, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Florida International vs Jacksonville State?: Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 27-24. Maiden picked Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 61% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we published between 60% to 65% have won 24 of 36 college football games, 67%. That is the whole point of publishing a probability rather than a name: you can check for yourself whether a number in that range has actually meant what it said. The full table, every band and every sport, is on our track record page.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we published between 60% to 65% have won 24 of 36 college football games, 67%. That is the whole point of publishing a probability rather than a name: you can check for yourself whether a number in that range has actually meant what it said. The full table, every band and every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Florida International vs Jacksonville State win probability come from?: We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Jacksonville State Gamecocks hosting Florida International Panthers. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.