Week 7, 2026 college football picks
Every game we have a call on this week — the side we pick to win and our probability. The games we ran and decided not to call are here too, marked, so you can see what we left alone and why. Kickoffs run Tuesday, October 13 through Saturday, October 17.
45
games we call
14
we ran and left alone
3
settled so far
215-49
record, all season
81%
picks correct
Tuesday, October 13
Wednesday, October 14
Thursday, October 15
Friday, October 16
- Memphis Tigers at Tulane Green WaveToo close to call
We ran it and landed too near a coin flip to publish.
- App State Mountaineers at Coastal Carolina ChanticleersToo close to call
We ran it and landed too near a coin flip to publish.
- Washington Huskies at Purdue BoilermakersNo call
We ran it and decided not to publish a call.
Saturday, October 17
- Georgia State Panthers at James Madison Dukes
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Ball State Cardinals at Bowling Green Falcons
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Florida Atlantic Owls at Army Black Knights
Army Black Knights, 74% to win
Projected total 55.2
- Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans
Northwestern Wildcats, 62% to win
Projected total 46.4
- Virginia Cavaliers at SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs, 66% to win
Projected total 52.2
- Pittsburgh Panthers at Boston College Eagles
Pittsburgh Panthers, 74% to win
Projected total 49.4
- Kansas Jayhawks at Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats, 61% to win
Projected total 56.3
- Florida Gators at Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns, 77% to win
Projected total 53.6
- Mississippi State Bulldogs at LSU Tigers
LSU Tigers, 76% to win
Projected total 60
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Maryland Terrapins
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Massachusetts Minutemen at Buffalo Bulls
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- Charlotte 49ers at Temple Owls
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- Western Michigan Broncos at Central Michigan Chippewas
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- Akron Zips at Miami (OH) RedHawks
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- Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan Eagles
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- Northern Illinois Huskies at Wyoming Cowboys
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- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Virginia Tech Hokies
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- Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red Raiders
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- Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Missouri Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels
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- Auburn Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs
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- Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Rice Owls
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- Troy Trojans at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
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- Washington State Cougars at Oregon State Beavers
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- Nevada Wolf Pack at North Dakota State Bison
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- Kent State Golden Flashes at South Florida Bulls
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- Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes
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- TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears
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- Arkansas Razorbacks at Vanderbilt Commodores
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- Wisconsin Badgers at UCLA Bruins
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- Louisville Cardinals at Syracuse Orange
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- Oklahoma State Cowboys at Houston Cougars
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish at BYU Cougars
Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 71% to win
Projected total 52.9
- Kentucky Wildcats at Oklahoma Sooners
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at UL Monroe Warhawks
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Navy Midshipmen at UTSA Roadrunners
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- San José State Spartans at UTEP Miners
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Ohio Bobcats at Sacramento State Hornets
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Utah Utes at Colorado Buffaloes
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- New Mexico Lobos at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons at California Golden Bears
Pro pickOpens to everyone once it grades. Pro opens it now
- Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia MountaineersToo close to call
We ran it and landed too near a coin flip to publish.
- Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana HoosiersNo call
We ran it and decided not to publish a call.
- North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue DevilsNo call
We ran it and decided not to publish a call.
- Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan WolverinesToo close to call
We ran it and landed too near a coin flip to publish.
- UNLV Rebels at Air Force FalconsToo close to call
We ran it and landed too near a coin flip to publish.
- Arkansas State Red Wolves at Southern Miss Golden EaglesToo close to call
We ran it and landed too near a coin flip to publish.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers at Oregon DucksNo call
We ran it and decided not to publish a call.
Tomorrow's card, by email
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How to read this board
Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 61% to win. Each row is one call: the team we pick to win and how likely we think that is. The probability is the pick — it is what gets graded, and a 68% call that loses is a 68% call that lost, not a bad model.
One number per row, and it is the probability. We do project a margin for each game, and it is on the game page where there is room to label it — but it is context, not a call, and nobody is graded on it. No sportsbook line appears anywhere on this page, and neither does anyone else’s number.
A short board is the honest one. We publish only where our model clears its gates, so a week with a lot of close games has fewer picks on it — the games we leave out are the ones we would be guessing at. Those games are still listed, greyed out, and each one has a page saying which gate stopped it. A pick we did not make is part of the record too.