Florida Atlantic Owls at Army Black Knights — prediction and win probability
Army Black Knights, 74% to win. We project them by 10.9.
The numbers
| Our pick | Army Black Knights |
| Chance they win | 74% |
| Our projected spread (Army Black Knights) | -10.9 |
| Our projected score (Army Black Knights first) | 33-22 |
| Projected total | 55.2 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Army Black Knights) | -2 |
| Total | 54.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
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Prediction published Oct 11, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC
Tomorrow's board, before kickoff
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Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Florida Atlantic vs Army?
- Maiden gives Army Black Knights a 74% chance to beat Florida Atlantic Owls. That is our model's straight-up win probability, published before kickoff and graded in public afterwards, whichever way it goes.
- What is the projected score for Florida Atlantic vs Army?
- Our model projects Army Black Knights 33, Florida Atlantic Owls 22. The projected score and spread are supporting context only: the win probability is the published call, and it is the only number we are graded on.
- Where does the Florida Atlantic vs Army win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Army Black Knights hosting Florida Atlantic Owls. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.