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French Open predictions, May 29, 2026: Fonseca vs. Djokovic, Bouzkova vs. Andreeva

By The Maiden Desk · May 29, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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7 matches are on Friday's card at French Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Joao Fonseca against Novak Djokovic in the round of 32. Our calls: Djokovic over Fonseca, Andreeva over Bouzkova, Ruud over Paul, Borges over Rublev, Khachanov over Jong, Kostyuk over Golubic, and 1 more.

May 28, 2026 results: 14-14 how our picks graded, match by match.

Marta Kostyuk vs. Viktorija Golubic

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 96% on Marta Kostyuk, who won 6-4 6-3.

Pick: Kostyuk

Win probability: 96% Kostyuk

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Marta Kostyuk goes up against Viktorija Golubic in the French Open round of 32. Marta Kostyuk brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Viktorija Golubic comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Marta Kostyuk leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Kostyuk — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 63.3% versus 58% on first-serve points in Kostyuk's favor. Anything other than a Kostyuk win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Jil Teichmann vs. Karolina Muchova

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 79% on Karolina Muchova; Jil Teichmann won 6-1 7-5.

Pick: Muchova

Win probability: 79% Muchova

Jil Teichmann and Karolina Muchova meet in the round of 32 at French Open on Friday. Karolina Muchova is 7-3 across recent matches. Jil Teichmann brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

Jil Teichmann has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 3 against Karolina Muchova. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Teichmann — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Muchova win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Casper Ruud at 70% before the match, and Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.

Pick: Ruud

Win probability: 70% Ruud

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Casper Ruud goes up against Tommy Paul in the French Open round of 32. Casper Ruud has won 4 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Tommy Paul is 7-3 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Casper Ruud, 4-2 across their 6 meetings with Tommy Paul. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Ruud — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. The edge belongs to Ruud — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Jesper De Jong vs. Karen Khachanov

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Karen Khachanov at 66% lost to Jesper De Jong (7-5 5-7 6-2 6-7 6-2).

Pick: Khachanov

Win probability: 66% Khachanov

Friday's French Open round of 32 pits Jesper De Jong against Karen Khachanov on clay. Karen Khachanov has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Jesper De Jong is rolling — 3 straight wins, 4 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Jong — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Khachanov.

Joao Fonseca vs. Novak Djokovic

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Novak Djokovic at 63% lost to Joao Fonseca (4-6 4-6 6-3 7-5 7-5).

Pick: Djokovic

Win probability: 63% Djokovic

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Joao Fonseca goes up against Novak Djokovic in the French Open round of 32. Novak Djokovic is 7-3 across recent matches. Joao Fonseca has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Joao Fonseca has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Novak Djokovic. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Fonseca — worth more than the overall number this week.

Novak Djokovic is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Djokovic around 63%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Djokovic.

Marie Bouzkova vs. Mirra Andreeva

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 61% on Mirra Andreeva, who won 6-4 6-2.

Pick: Andreeva

Win probability: 61% Andreeva

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Marie Bouzkova goes up against Mirra Andreeva in the French Open round of 32. Mirra Andreeva brings a 10-match winning streak into this one, 10-0 across the last ten. Marie Bouzkova has won 5 of the last 10.

Mirra Andreeva leads the head-to-head 5-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Andreeva — worth more than the overall number this week.

Mirra Andreeva is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Andreeva around 61%. Andreeva should have enough here, though Bouzkova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Andrey Rublev vs. Nuno Borges

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Nuno Borges at 55% lost to Andrey Rublev (7-5 7-6 7-6).

Pick: Borges

Win probability: 55% Borges

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Nuno Borges in the French Open round of 32. Nuno Borges has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Andrey Rublev has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

The ledger favors Andrey Rublev, 5-0 across their 5 meetings with Nuno Borges. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Rublev — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Borges gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Jul 3, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.