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French Open predictions, May 29, 2026: Fonseca vs Djokovic, Bouzkova vs Andreeva

By The Maiden Desk · May 29, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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7 matches are on Friday's card at French Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Joao Fonseca against Novak Djokovic in the round of 32. Our calls: Djokovic over Fonseca, Andreeva over Bouzkova, Ruud over Paul, Borges over Rublev, Khachanov over Jong, Muchova over Teichmann, and 1 more.

May 28, 2026 results: 14-14 → how our picks graded, match by match.

Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 96% on Marta Kostyuk, who won 6-4 6-3.

Pick: Kostyuk

Win probability: 96% Kostyuk

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Marta Kostyuk goes up against Viktorija Golubic in the French Open round of 32. Marta Kostyuk brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Viktorija Golubic comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Marta Kostyuk leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Kostyuk — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 63.3% versus 58% on first-serve points in Kostyuk's favor. Anything other than a Kostyuk win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 79% on Karolina Muchova; Jil Teichmann won 6-1 7-5.

Pick: Muchova

Win probability: 79% Muchova

Jil Teichmann and Karolina Muchova meet in the round of 32 at French Open on Friday. Karolina Muchova is 7-3 across recent matches. Jil Teichmann brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

Jil Teichmann has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 3 against Karolina Muchova. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Teichmann — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Muchova win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Casper Ruud at 70% before the match, and Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.

Pick: Ruud

Win probability: 70% Ruud

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Casper Ruud goes up against Tommy Paul in the French Open round of 32. Casper Ruud has won 4 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Tommy Paul is 7-3 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Casper Ruud, 4-2 across their 6 meetings with Tommy Paul. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Ruud — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Ruud — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Jesper De Jong vs Karen Khachanov

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Karen Khachanov at 66% lost to Jesper De Jong (7-5 5-7 6-2 6-7 6-2).

Pick: Khachanov

Win probability: 66% Khachanov

Friday's French Open round of 32 pits Jesper De Jong against Karen Khachanov on clay. Karen Khachanov has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Jesper De Jong is rolling — 3 straight wins, 4 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Jong — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Khachanov.

Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Novak Djokovic at 63% lost to Joao Fonseca (4-6 4-6 6-3 7-5 7-5).

Pick: Djokovic

Win probability: 63% Djokovic

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Joao Fonseca goes up against Novak Djokovic in the French Open round of 32. Novak Djokovic is 7-3 across recent matches. Joao Fonseca has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Joao Fonseca has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Novak Djokovic. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Fonseca — worth more than the overall number this week.

Novak Djokovic is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Djokovic around 63%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Djokovic.

Marie Bouzkova vs Mirra Andreeva

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 61% on Mirra Andreeva, who won 6-4 6-2.

Pick: Andreeva

Win probability: 61% Andreeva

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Marie Bouzkova goes up against Mirra Andreeva in the French Open round of 32. Mirra Andreeva brings a 10-match winning streak into this one, 10-0 across the last ten. Marie Bouzkova has won 5 of the last 10.

Mirra Andreeva leads the head-to-head 5-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Andreeva — worth more than the overall number this week.

Mirra Andreeva is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Andreeva around 61%. Andreeva should have enough here, though Bouzkova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Nuno Borges at 55% lost to Andrey Rublev (7-5 7-6 7-6).

Pick: Borges

Win probability: 55% Borges

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Nuno Borges in the French Open round of 32. Nuno Borges has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Andrey Rublev has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

The ledger favors Andrey Rublev, 5-0 across their 5 meetings with Nuno Borges. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Rublev — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Borges gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Jul 3, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.