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French Open predictions, May 31, 2026: Zverev vs. Jong, Rublev vs. Mensik

By The Maiden Desk · May 31, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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6 matches are on Sunday's card at French Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alexander Zverev against Jesper De Jong in the round of 16. Our calls: Zverev over Jong, Mensik over Rublev, Andreeva over Teichmann, Swiatek over Kostyuk, Svitolina over Bencic, Ruud over Fonseca. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Yesterday’s results: 11-2

May 30, 2026 card →
  • ✓ Pick rightKeys at 79% won 6-3 5-7 7-5
  • ✓ Pick rightCerundolo at 73% won 6-4 6-7 7-6 6-7 7-6
  • ✓ Pick rightTabilo at 72% won 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6
  • ✓ Pick rightCobolli at 70% won 6-2 6-2 6-3
  • ✓ Pick rightBerrettini at 63% won 7-6 5-7 6-7 6-4 7-6
  • ✓ Pick rightTiafoe at 62% won 4-6 6-7 7-6 6-1 6-2
  • ✓ Pick rightSvajda at 57% won 6-3 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-3
  • ✓ Pick rightKalinskaya at 54% won 6-3 0-6 6-2
  • ✓ Pick rightShnaider at 52% won 7-5 6-1
  • ✓ Pick rightPotapova at 52% won 4-6 7-6 6-4
  • ✓ Pick rightOsaka at 51% won 7-6 6-7 6-4
  • ✗ Pick wrongAnisimova at 69% lost 3-6 6-4 6-7
  • ✗ Pick wrongCollignon at 63% lost 4-6 7-6 7-5 4-6 6-7

Every pick graded in public — the full ledger lives on the track record.

Alexander Zverev vs. Jesper De Jong

Sunday's French Open round of 16 pits Alexander Zverev against Jesper De Jong on clay. Alexander Zverev is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Jesper De Jong is rolling — 4 straight wins, 4 of 10 in recent play.

Alexander Zverev leads the head-to-head 3-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 3-0 Zverev — worth more than the overall number this week.

Alexander Zverev simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Jong needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Pick: Zverev

Win probability: 87% Zverev

✓ Pick rightGraded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 87% on Alexander Zverev, and Alexander Zverev won 7-6 6-4 6-1.

Andrey Rublev vs. Jakub Mensik

Andrey Rublev and Jakub Mensik meet in the round of 16 at French Open on Sunday. Jakub Mensik is rolling — 6 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Andrey Rublev has won 5 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Jakub Mensik leads the head-to-head 3-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Mensik — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Rublev needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Pick: Mensik

Win probability: 82% Mensik

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Jakub Mensik was our 82% pick, and won 6-3 7-6 4-6 2-6 6-3.

Jil Teichmann vs. Mirra Andreeva

Sunday's French Open round of 16 pits Jil Teichmann against Mirra Andreeva on clay. Mirra Andreeva has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall. Jil Teichmann is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Mirra Andreeva has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Jil Teichmann. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Andreeva — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Teichmann needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Pick: Andreeva

Win probability: 74% Andreeva

✓ Pick rightGraded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 74% on Mirra Andreeva, and Mirra Andreeva won 6-3 6-1.

Iga Swiatek vs. Marta Kostyuk

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Iga Swiatek goes up against Marta Kostyuk in the French Open round of 16. Iga Swiatek brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Marta Kostyuk is rolling — 7 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 4-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. The edge belongs to Swiatek — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Swiatek

Win probability: 60% Swiatek

✗ Pick wrongGraded: incorrect. We had Iga Swiatek at 60%, but Marta Kostyuk won 7-5 6-1. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

Belinda Bencic vs. Elina Svitolina

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Belinda Bencic goes up against Elina Svitolina in the French Open round of 16. Elina Svitolina brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Belinda Bencic is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The ledger favors Elina Svitolina, 5-2 across their 7 meetings with Belinda Bencic. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Svitolina is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Svitolina

Win probability: 57% Svitolina

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Elina Svitolina was our 57% pick, and won 4-6 6-4 6-0.

Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca

Casper Ruud and Joao Fonseca meet in the round of 16 at French Open on Sunday. Casper Ruud brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Joao Fonseca is rolling — 6 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Joao Fonseca leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Fonseca — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ruud is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Ruud

Win probability: 51% Ruud

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 51% on Casper Ruud; Joao Fonseca won 7-5 7-6 5-7 3-1.

Updated Jul 3, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.