Saturday's Granby semifinal pits Arthur Gea against Murphy Cassone on hard. Arthur Gea has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Murphy Cassone brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 4-6 across the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Arthur Gea simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Gea comes in off a compressed schedule; Cassone comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Gea — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.