Los Cabos Predictions & Picks — July 30, 2026

Coleman Wong and Jiri Lehecka meet in the round of 16 at Los Cabos on Thursday. Jiri Lehecka comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Coleman Wong is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Lehecka — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Bernard Tomic and Karen Khachanov meet in the round of 16 at Los Cabos on Thursday. Karen Khachanov has won 6 of the last 10. Bernard Tomic brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

Karen Khachanov is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Khachanov around 62%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Khachanov.

Francisco Cerundolo and Tristan Boyer meet in the round of 16 at Los Cabos on Thursday. Francisco Cerundolo has won 7 of the last 10. Tristan Boyer limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Francisco Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cerundolo around 65%. Cerundolo should have enough here, though Boyer has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Cameron Norrie goes up against James Duckworth in the Los Cabos round of 16. Cameron Norrie is 4-6 across recent matches. James Duckworth is 6-4 across recent matches.

Cameron Norrie simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Duckworth arrives with very little recovery time. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Norrie fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Denis Shapovalov and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez meet in the round of 16 at Los Cabos on Thursday. Denis Shapovalov has won 3 of the last 10. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 74.7% versus 69.9% on first-serve points in Shapovalov's favor. Shapovalov is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling; Mendez arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Shapovalov gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Arthur Gea and Michael Zheng meet in the round of 16 at Los Cabos on Thursday. Arthur Gea comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Michael Zheng has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Gea comes in off a compressed schedule; Zheng comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gea is exactly that — a lean.

Thursday's Los Cabos round of 16 pits Dalibor Svrcina against Luciano Darderi on hard. Luciano Darderi is 6-4 across recent matches. Dalibor Svrcina has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Darderi has been winning 70.9% of first-serve points to Svrcina's 62.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Darderi should have enough here, though Svrcina has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.