2 matches are on Monday's card at Montreal and Toronto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alexis Galarneau against Vit Kopriva in the first round. Our calls: Galarneau over Kopriva, Putintseva over Zhang. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
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Monday's Montreal first round pits Alexis Galarneau against Vit Kopriva on hard. Alexis Galarneau comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Vit Kopriva limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Galarneau is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Galarneau
Win probability: 50% Galarneau · Sets: 3 (54%) · most likely score 2-1 (28%)
Monday's Toronto first round pits Shuai Zhang against Yulia Putintseva on hard. Yulia Putintseva is 6-4 across recent matches. Shuai Zhang comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Putintseva gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Putintseva
Win probability: 59% Putintseva · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)