3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Genova, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gabriele Piraino against Laslo Djere in the round of 16. Our calls: Djere over Piraino, Sakellaridis over Ajdukovic, Pellegrino over Aboian.
Pick: Sakellaridis
Win probability: 64% Sakellaridis · Market: -243 · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Duje Ajdukovic goes up against Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Genova round of 16. Stefanos Sakellaridis has won 6 of the last 10. Duje Ajdukovic has won 5 of the last 10.
Stefanos Sakellaridis is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Sakellaridis around 64%. Sakellaridis should have enough here, though Ajdukovic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Djere
Win probability: 70% Djere · Market: -397 · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (45%)
Wednesday's Genova round of 16 pits Gabriele Piraino against Laslo Djere on clay. Laslo Djere has won 6 of the last 10. Gabriele Piraino is 6-4 across recent matches.
Djere's 72.3% behind the first serve (against 62.7% for Piraino) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Djere should have enough here, though Piraino has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Pellegrino
Win probability: 76% Pellegrino · Market: -381 · Sets: 3 (44%) · most likely score 2-0 (43%)
Andrea Pellegrino and Valerio Aboian meet in the round of 16 at Genova on Wednesday. Andrea Pellegrino is 6-4 across recent matches. Valerio Aboian is 5-5 across recent matches.
Andrea Pellegrino is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Pellegrino around 76%. Pellegrino arrives with very little recovery time; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Pellegrino win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
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