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Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) Predictions & Picks — September 9, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · September 9, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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2 matches are on Wednesday's card at Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Kasidit Samrej against Yuta Shimizu in the round of 16. Our calls: Samrej over Shimizu, Jones over Moriya.

The boldest call on the card: Samrej over Shimizu — the market disagrees with us there.

Hiroki Moriya vs. Maximus Jones

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Maximus Jones at 54%, but Hiroki Moriya won 6-3 7-6.

Pick: Jones

Win probability: 54% Jones · Market: -134 · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (28%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Hiroki Moriya goes up against Maximus Jones in the Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) round of 16. Maximus Jones is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Hiroki Moriya limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.6% versus 63.3% on first-serve points in Jones's favor. Jones comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jones fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Kasidit Samrej vs. Yuta Shimizu

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Kasidit Samrej at 50% lost to Yuta Shimizu (6-4 6-4).

Pick: SamrejUpset call

Upset call: the market favors Shimizu; our numbers say Samrej.

Win probability: 50% Samrej · Market: +184 · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (26%)

Wednesday's Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) round of 16 pits Kasidit Samrej against Yuta Shimizu on hard. Kasidit Samrej comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Yuta Shimizu has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 71% versus 67.7% on first-serve points in Samrej's favor. Samrej comes in off a compressed schedule; Shimizu comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Samrej gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Sep 8, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.