2 matches are on Friday's card at Guadalajara, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Cristina Bucsa against Iva Jovic in the semifinal. Our calls: Jovic over Bucsa, Stearns over Stephens.
Pick: Stearns
Win probability: 57% Stearns · Market: -159 · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)
Friday's Guadalajara quarterfinal pits Peyton Stearns against Sloane Stephens on hard. Peyton Stearns is 5-5 across recent matches. Sloane Stephens comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Stearns gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Jovic
Win probability: 66% Jovic · Market: -292 · Sets: 2 (66%) · most likely score 2-0 (45%)
Friday's Guadalajara semifinal pits Cristina Bucsa against Iva Jovic on hard. Iva Jovic comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Cristina Bucsa is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.
Hold strength tells the story — 62.7% versus 58.6% on first-serve points in Jovic's favor. Jovic should have enough here, though Bucsa has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.