A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Barbora Palicova goes up against Ekaterine Gorgodze in the Tolentino round of 16. Ekaterine Gorgodze is 4-6 across recent matches. Barbora Palicova comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Ekaterine Gorgodze is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Gorgodze around 50%. Palicova comes in off a compressed schedule; Gorgodze arrives with very little recovery time. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gorgodze fractionally more likely to land the big points.