Hangzhou Predictions & Picks — September 25, 2026

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Kyrian Jacquet goes up against Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Hangzhou round of 16. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is 5-5 across recent matches. Kyrian Jacquet comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Etcheverry is exactly that — a lean.

Friday's Hangzhou round of 16 pits Andrey Rublev against Rinky Hijikata on hard. Andrey Rublev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Rinky Hijikata has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.2% versus 68.6% on first-serve points in Rublev's favor. Hijikata comes in off a compressed schedule. Rublev should have enough here, though Hijikata has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Fabian Marozsan goes up against Taro Daniel in the Hangzhou round of 16. Fabian Marozsan has won 5 of the last 10. Taro Daniel has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Marozsan comes in off a compressed schedule; Daniel comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Marozsan.

Hugo Gaston and Jaime Faria meet in the round of 16 at Hangzhou on Friday. Jaime Faria comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Hugo Gaston is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 71.1% versus 65.7% on first-serve points in Faria's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Faria fractionally more likely to land the big points.