3 matches are on Thursday's card at Guangzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jie Cui against Yibing Wu in the round of 16. Our calls: Wu over Cui, Broady over Santillan, Smith over Sun.
Pick: Smith
Win probability: 69% Smith · Market: -166 · We call it in 2 sets (58%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (41%)
Fajing Sun and Keegan Smith meet in the round of 16 at Guangzhou on Thursday. Keegan Smith comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Fajing Sun is 4-6 across recent matches.
Keegan Smith simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Smith should have enough here, though Sun has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Broady
Win probability: 59% Broady · Market: -190 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)
Akira Santillan and Liam Broady meet in the round of 16 at Guangzhou on Thursday. Liam Broady is 3-7 across recent matches. Akira Santillan has won 4 of the last 10.
Liam Broady simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Broady fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Wu
Win probability: 78% Wu · Market: -400 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (48%)
Thursday's Guangzhou round of 16 pits Jie Cui against Yibing Wu on hard. Yibing Wu comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Jie Cui comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Wu win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
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