3 matches are on Thursday's card at Osaka, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Katerina Siniakova against Magda Linette in the round of 16. Our calls: Siniakova over Linette, Li over Sonmez, Ruzic over Day.
Pick: Li
Win probability: 68% Li · Market: -176 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (45%)
Ann Li and Zeynep Sonmez meet in the round of 16 at Osaka on Thursday. Ann Li comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Zeynep Sonmez has won 4 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 65.3% versus 60.6% on first-serve points in Li's favor. The edge belongs to Li — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Siniakova
Win probability: 59% Siniakova · Market: -178 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)
Katerina Siniakova and Magda Linette meet in the round of 16 at Osaka on Thursday. Katerina Siniakova is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Magda Linette has won 2 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Siniakova is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Ruzic
Win probability: 55% Ruzic · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)
Antonia Ruzic and Kayla Day meet in the round of 16 at Osaka on Thursday. Antonia Ruzic has won 3 of the last 10. Kayla Day comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Ruzic gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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