Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi meet in the round of 64 at Paris on Monday. Cameron Norrie is 4-6 across recent matches. Matteo Arnaldi limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Norrie gets the nod on the finest of margins.