Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Luciano Darderi against Rinky Hijikata on clay. Luciano Darderi has won 5 of the last 10. Rinky Hijikata is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Darderi — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.