Cincinnati Predictions & Picks — August 13, 2026

Jack Draper and Martin Landaluce meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Jack Draper is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Martin Landaluce limps in on a 6-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Draper's 74.3% behind the first serve (against 70.7% for Landaluce) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Landaluce needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Jan Choinski goes up against Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Cincinnati first round. Thiago Agustin Tirante has won 6 of the last 10. Jan Choinski is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tirante.

Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Denis Shapovalov has won 5 of the last 10. Adrian Mannarino has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Shapovalov has been winning 74.7% of first-serve points to Mannarino's 70.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Shapovalov.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Mariano Navone goes up against Raphael Collignon in the Cincinnati first round. Raphael Collignon limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Mariano Navone has won 4 of the last 10.

Collignon's 72.8% behind the first serve (against 62.4% for Navone) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Collignon.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Gael Monfils goes up against Rinky Hijikata in the Cincinnati first round. Gael Monfils has won 4 of the last 10. Rinky Hijikata has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Gael Monfils simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Monfils.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Camilo Ugo Carabelli goes up against Miomir Kecmanovic in the Cincinnati first round. Miomir Kecmanovic has won 4 of the last 10. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.9% versus 66% on first-serve points in Kecmanovic's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kecmanovic is exactly that — a lean.

Cameron Norrie and Dino Prizmic meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Cameron Norrie is 6-4 across recent matches. Dino Prizmic comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Cameron Norrie is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Norrie around 58%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Norrie fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Marton Fucsovics and Terence Atmane meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Terence Atmane is 4-6 across recent matches. Marton Fucsovics limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Terence Atmane simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Atmane is exactly that — a lean.

Jan Lennard Struff and Roman Andres Burruchaga meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Jan Lennard Struff has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Roman Andres Burruchaga has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

Struff's 76.5% behind the first serve (against 65.5% for Burruchaga) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Struff is exactly that — a lean.