Cincinnati Predictions & Picks — August 15, 2026

Eva Lys and Sofia Kenin meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Saturday. Eva Lys is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10). Sofia Kenin limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Eva Lys is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Lys around 55%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Lys is exactly that — a lean.

Saturday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Jessica Pegula against Simona Waltert on hard. Jessica Pegula is 7-3 across recent matches. Simona Waltert has won 5 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 63.7% versus 60.4% on first-serve points in Pegula's favor. Anything other than a Pegula win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Diana Shnaider and Tatjana Maria meet in the round of 64 at Cincinnati on Saturday. Diana Shnaider comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Tatjana Maria comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Diana Shnaider simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Maria needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Amanda Anisimova goes up against Zeynep Sonmez in the Cincinnati round of 64. Amanda Anisimova comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Zeynep Sonmez is 5-5 across recent matches.

Amanda Anisimova simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. If Anisimova plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Katie Boulter and Linda Noskova meet in the round of 64 at Cincinnati on Saturday. Linda Noskova comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Katie Boulter limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Linda Noskova is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Noskova around 74%. If Noskova plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alexandra Eala goes up against Elena Gabriela Ruse in the Cincinnati round of 64. Alexandra Eala is 8-2 across recent matches. Elena Gabriela Ruse has won 5 of the last 10.

Alexandra Eala simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Eala win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Saturday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Diane Parry against Elise Mertens on hard. Elise Mertens is 6-4 across recent matches. Diane Parry has won 5 of the last 10.

Elise Mertens simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Mertens should have enough here, though Parry has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Kayla Day goes up against Shuai Zhang in the Cincinnati first round. Shuai Zhang comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Kayla Day has won 3 of the last 10.

Shuai Zhang simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Zhang should have enough here, though Day has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Saturday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Kamilla Rakhimova against Maria Sakkari on hard. Maria Sakkari is 5-5 across recent matches. Kamilla Rakhimova is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Sakkari should have enough here, though Rakhimova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Anna Kalinskaya and Caty Mcnally meet in the round of 64 at Cincinnati on Saturday. Anna Kalinskaya is 6-4 across recent matches. Caty Mcnally is 6-4 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Kalinskaya has been winning 63.4% of first-serve points to Mcnally's 60.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Kalinskaya should have enough here, though Mcnally has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Jelena Ostapenko goes up against Magdalena Frech in the Cincinnati round of 64. Jelena Ostapenko comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Magdalena Frech comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Ostapenko gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Saturday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Cristina Bucsa against Maja Chwalinska on hard. Cristina Bucsa is 2-8 across recent matches. Maja Chwalinska limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10.

Cristina Bucsa simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bucsa is exactly that — a lean.

Anhelina Kalinina and Emma Navarro meet in the round of 64 at Cincinnati on Saturday. Anhelina Kalinina comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Emma Navarro has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Kalinina gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Nikola Bartunkova goes up against Sorana Cirstea in the Cincinnati round of 64. Sorana Cirstea has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Nikola Bartunkova is 6-4 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Bartunkova comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Cirstea — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.