3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Istanbul, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gabi Adrian Boitan against Harold Mayot in the round of 16. Our calls: Mayot over Boitan, Kasnikowski over Langmo, Kuzmanov over Ursu.
Pick: Kasnikowski
Win probability: 64% Kasnikowski · Market: -294 · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)
Christian Langmo and Maks Kasnikowski meet in the round of 16 at Istanbul on Wednesday. Maks Kasnikowski comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Christian Langmo is 2-8 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Kasnikowski — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Mayot
Win probability: 66% Mayot · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)
Wednesday's Istanbul round of 16 pits Gabi Adrian Boitan against Harold Mayot on hard. Harold Mayot has won 6 of the last 10. Gabi Adrian Boitan comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Harold Mayot simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Boitan comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Mayot.
Pick: Kuzmanov
Win probability: 73% Kuzmanov · Market: -255 · Sets: 3 (44%) · most likely score 2-0 (42%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Dimitar Kuzmanov goes up against Vadym Ursu in the Istanbul round of 16. Dimitar Kuzmanov has won 5 of the last 10. Vadym Ursu comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Dimitar Kuzmanov simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Kuzmanov comes in off a compressed schedule. Ursu needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
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