Hangzhou Predictions & Picks — September 24, 2026

Thursday's Hangzhou round of 32 pits Daniel Vallejo against Jie Cui on hard. Daniel Vallejo comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Jie Cui is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Vallejo.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Michael Zheng goes up against Y. Bu in the Hangzhou round of 32. Michael Zheng comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Y. Bu comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Zheng is exactly that — a lean.

Jaime Faria and Terence Atmane meet in the round of 32 at Hangzhou on Thursday. Terence Atmane has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Jaime Faria is 6-4 across recent matches.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Atmane fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Thursday's Hangzhou round of 32 pits Hugo Gaston against Sho Shimabukuro on hard. Hugo Gaston has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Sho Shimabukuro comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Hugo Gaston is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Gaston around 53%. Little separates them; Gaston gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Thursday's Hangzhou round of 32 pits Kamil Majchrzak against Mattia Bellucci on hard. Kamil Majchrzak comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Mattia Bellucci is 4-6 across recent matches.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Majchrzak fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Fajing Sun and Roman Safiullin meet in the round of 32 at Hangzhou on Thursday. Roman Safiullin has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Fajing Sun comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 72.2% versus 69.1% on first-serve points in Safiullin's favor. The edge belongs to Safiullin — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alex Bolt goes up against Fabian Marozsan in the Hangzhou round of 32. Fabian Marozsan has won 5 of the last 10. Alex Bolt has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Fabian Marozsan is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Marozsan around 61%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Marozsan.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Dane Sweeny goes up against Taro Daniel in the Hangzhou round of 32. Taro Daniel has won 7 of the last 10. Dane Sweeny has won 4 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Daniel fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Thursday's Hangzhou round of 32 pits Dalibor Svrcina against Rinky Hijikata on hard. Rinky Hijikata is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Dalibor Svrcina has won 3 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Hijikata has been winning 68.6% of first-serve points to Svrcina's 63.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Hijikata is exactly that — a lean.